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4

You Made Me Look

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 4 · OR 74

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

89%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

11/2, third of 8 in maiden at this C&D (good to soft) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13227/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13224/05C8C8 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13214/07C8C8 @ Durbanville 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12616/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Durbanville?3rd3rd0
2026-07-14Durbanville?3rd3rd0
2026-05-24Kenilworth?6th6th0
2026-04-27Kenilworth?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0424/0514/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 58/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend -18.1% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
24/05/20266th14/126%38%+0.11
14/07/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
16/09/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08