13

Idole Elde
8yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Des Gobelins - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
79%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2024 | 10th | 11/4 | 86% | 36% | -0.50 |
| 13/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 22/02/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/07/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 09/04/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |