10
Justicia Smart
7yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Des Gobelins - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Cordemais | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 2-18 · tight 30/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/01/2026 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 76% | +0.50 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 19/09/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/09/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |