10

Ninety One Bond
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Enghien · Prix Du Pont Royal - Monte · 1m 3f 40y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -21.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |