5
Ninos
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Enghien · Prix Du Pont Royal - Monte · 1m 3f 40y
#2
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -47.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |