IvyArcIvyArc
7

Nabuca

3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 7

Enghien · Prix Lord Williams - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cherbourg 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 024/06C?5 @ Enghien 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/075C0 @ Enghien 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 029/07C?4 @ Nantes 25/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f67y Std 025/094projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Nantes47th7th0
2026-07-29Enghien?6th6th0
2026-07-11Enghien53rd3rd0
2026-06-24Cherbourg?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0611/0729/0725/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 5-15 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -13.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20264th66/10%70%+0.70
11/07/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78
29/07/20266th11/142%50%+0.08
25/09/20267th50/10%50%+0.50