IvyArcIvyArc
3

Nikita Wood

3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 3

Enghien · Prix Lord Williams - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#11

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cordemais 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 029/03C?5 @ Enghien 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/0755 @ Pornichet 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 020/0855 @ Vincennes 18/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 018/095projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Vincennes58th8th0
2026-08-20Pornichet52nd2nd0
2026-08-04Les Sables?0
2026-07-11Enghien58th8th0
2026-03-29Chatelaillon?2nd2nd0
2026-03-08Cordemais?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0329/0311/0720/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 31/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/03/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
29/03/20262nd11/486%89%+0.03
11/07/20268th9/276%22%-0.54
20/08/20262nd5/174%91%+0.17
18/09/20268th5/174%46%-0.28