11
Nymphadora Tonks
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 11
Enghien · Prix Lord Williams - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-26 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 15-15 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -34.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 78% | +0.73 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |