16

Jolie Indienne
7yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Armand De Bellaigue - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Les Sables | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 3-14 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 17/04/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 24/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 25/08/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/11/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 17/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 05/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |