10
Karlie Star
6yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Armand De Bellaigue - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-15 | Le Mans | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-11 | Chatelaillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Cordemais | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-10-17 | Chartres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2023 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 28/09/2024 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 17/10/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 20/04/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 11/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |