18
Kazy Merite
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Armand De Bellaigue - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Feurs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 01/12/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |