5
Kiarha De Nappes
6yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Armand De Bellaigue - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#16
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Nancy | 6 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 9-18 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 23/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 15/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 46% | -0.28 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 17/06/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |