7
Kaolik De Guez
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Enghien · Prix De La Place Beauvau - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Saint Galmier | 6 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 27/03/2025 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 15/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 18/12/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 23/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |