14
Mamamia Des Arris
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 14
Enghien · Prix De Passy - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 23/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 26/06/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 10/07/2026 | 12th | 6/5 | 94% | 15% | -0.78 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |