15

Meribel

4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 15

Enghien · Prix De Passy - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#2

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Mans 22/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 022/05C?C0 @ Lisieux 08/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 08/06C?C0 @ Enghien 14/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 014/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 10/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 010/02C?4 @ Vincennes 11/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 011/094projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Vincennes412th12th0
2026-02-10Vincennes?11th11th0
2025-12-30Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-09-01Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2025-08-14Enghien?1st1st0
2025-06-08Lisieux?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/051/0911/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 6-15 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
08/06/20255th6/168%50%-0.18
14/08/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
01/09/20252nd13/266%89%+0.23
30/12/20258th14/126%13%-0.14
10/02/202611th80/10%29%+0.29
11/09/202612th100/10%35%+0.35