12

Moonstar Jyl
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 12
Enghien · Prix De Passy - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#9
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 38/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 18/09/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |