7
Fedora Key Col
5yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte De Saint-mande - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 83/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 19/06/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |