5
Lili Des Ormes
5yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte De Saint-mande - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 46% | -0.01 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |