4
Luna Park
5yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte De Saint-mande - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/03/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 18/08/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/10/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 17/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 10/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |