12

Lune Lumalo
5yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte De Saint-mande - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 22/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |