4

Hold The Phone

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 41

Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Turfway Park 14/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark14/12/2024 · OR 67 par14/12C9OR 67C9 @ Turfway Park 16/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark16/02/2025 · OR 66 parC9 @ Turfway Park 06/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m Fas 125 · below its mark06/03/2025 · OR 68 par6/03C9OR 68C6 @ Finger Lakes 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 61 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 61 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 52 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 52 par29/06C6OR 52C6 @ Finger Lakes 13/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 48 · 1m70y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 48 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 40 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 40 par19/08C9OR 40C9 @ Finger Lakes 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 41 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 41 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 40 · 1m 124 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 40 par16/09C9OR 40projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-09-02Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-08-19Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-07-13Finger Lakes?8th5th+3
2026-06-29Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2026-06-15Finger Lakes?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1215/0619/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20246th25/10%38%+0.38
16/02/20256th25/10%44%+0.44
06/03/20258th40/10%0%0.00
15/06/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
29/06/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
13/07/20268th40/10%0%0.00
19/08/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
02/09/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
16/09/20263rd10/147%50%+0.03