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Wisecracker

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 52

Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength87%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 19/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/11/2025 · OR 57 par19/11C6OR 57C6 @ Finger Lakes 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 57 · 4f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 57 · 5f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 par11/05C6OR 57C6 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 56 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 55 par22/06C6OR 55C6 @ Finger Lakes 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 56 · 1m70y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 56 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 50 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 50 par10/08C6OR 50C6 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 52 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 22/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 51 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark22/09/2026 · OR 51 par22/09C9OR 51projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-08-25Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2026-08-10Finger Lakes?4th1st+3
2026-07-13Finger Lakes?7th4th+3
2026-06-22Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2026-05-27Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1127/0510/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/11/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
27/04/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
11/05/20264th11/271%25%-0.46
27/05/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
22/06/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
13/07/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
10/08/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
25/08/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
22/09/20265th7/163%20%-0.43