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6

Dancinwiththeboys

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 31

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS3/10C6C9 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 45 · 5f110y Gd 120 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 45 par3/08C9OR 45C9 @ Finger Lakes 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 34 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 34 par31/08C9OR 34C9 @ Finger Lakes 22/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 33 · 1m 120 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 33 par22/09C9OR 33projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-08-31Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?8th8th0
2025-10-03Belmont At The Big A?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/103/0831/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20258th40/10%30%+0.30
03/08/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
31/08/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
22/09/20264th20/10%57%+0.57