1
Only La Duss
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 41
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |