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3

Secord

5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 34

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Finger Lakes 17/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 52 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 52 par17/09C9OR 52C9 @ Finger Lakes 22/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 53 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 53 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 17/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 44 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark17/11/2025 · OR 44 par17/11C9OR 44C9 @ Finger Lakes 02/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 39 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 39 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 30 · 1m 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 30 par7/07C9OR 30C9 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 26 · 1m70y Gd 124 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 26 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 25 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 25 par12/08C6OR 25C9 @ Finger Lakes 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 34 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 34 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 22/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 27 · 1m 124 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 27 par22/09C9OR 27projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Finger Lakes?7th7th0
2026-09-08Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-08-12Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-07Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Finger Lakes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/092/0612/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20256th16/116%0%-0.16
22/10/20255th20/10%33%+0.33
17/11/202510th40/10%18%+0.18
02/06/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
07/07/20263rd12/137%50%+0.13
03/08/20264th40/10%63%+0.63
12/08/20266th40/10%0%0.00
08/09/20266th50/10%38%+0.38
22/09/20267th33/10%14%+0.14