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4

Lord King

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 4 · OR 88

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 55 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 55 par22/03C6OR 55C6 @ Aqueduct 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 70 · 7f 120 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 70 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 5f 120 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 72 par11/05C6OR 72C5 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 6f 120 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 16/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 81 par16/06C5OR 81C5 @ Finger Lakes 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 120 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 84 par3/08C5OR 84C5 @ Finger Lakes 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 83 · 6f Slo 121 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 21/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 86 par21/09C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Finger Lakes?2nd1st+1
2026-09-02Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-07-15Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2026-06-16Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-27Finger Lakes?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0327/053/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 81/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
18/04/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
11/05/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
27/05/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
16/06/20262nd5/696%83%-0.12
15/07/20261st3/1098%100%+0.02
03/08/20262nd7/491%80%-0.11
02/09/20262nd13/266%67%+0.01
21/09/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08