6
Stunning Sugar
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 73
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
45%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 18/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |