7

Glory Bound Clara
6yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 64
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |