Irish Jackson
7yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 72
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 21/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |