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4

Flying Phoebe

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 48

Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 56 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 56 par11/09C6OR 56C9 @ Delaware Park 25/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 61 · 1m 118 · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 61 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 20/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 42 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 42 par20/10C6OR 42C6 @ Finger Lakes 12/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 39 · 1m Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 39 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 02/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 35 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 35 par2/06C9OR 35C8 @ Finger Lakes 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 42 · 1m70y Fas 120 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 42 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 47 · 1m 120 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 47 par10/08C8OR 47C8 @ Finger Lakes 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 50 · 1m70y 120 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 50 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 14/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 46 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 46 par14/09C8OR 46projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-08-26Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-10Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-07-22Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-02Finger Lakes?1st2nd−1
2025-11-12Finger Lakes?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0912/1110/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
25/09/20255th9/276%0%-0.76
20/10/20257th40/10%25%+0.25
12/11/20254th16/116%0%-0.16
02/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
22/07/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
10/08/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
26/08/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
14/09/20266th8/158%17%-0.41