3
Maizey Blue
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 55
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |