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3

Blamicker

4yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 89

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Finger Lakes 17/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 78 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2025 · OR 78 par17/06C5OR 78C5 @ Saratoga 26/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 29/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 87 par29/10C5OR 87C5 @ Finger Lakes 26/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 5f110y Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 18/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 86 · 5f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 86 par18/05C5OR 86C5 @ Finger Lakes 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Saratoga 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 86 par1/08C5OR 86C6 @ Finger Lakes 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 6f 124 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 88 parC5 @ Saratoga 06/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 87 par6/09C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Saratoga?4th3rd+1
2026-08-18Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2026-08-01Saratoga?6th5th+1
2026-06-29Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2026-05-18Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2025-11-26Finger Lakes?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0626/111/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
26/07/20256th10/382%38%-0.45
29/10/20251st1/398%100%+0.02
26/11/20252nd4/998%80%-0.18
18/05/20261st3/1098%100%+0.02
29/06/20261st1/499%100%+0.01
01/08/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
18/08/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
06/09/20264th7/163%57%-0.06