7
Puckish
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 92
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |