4
Scocciatore
9yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 99
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
63%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2023 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/08/2023 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |