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Sorority Prank

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 91

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Finger Lakes 16/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2025 · OR 82 par16/06C5OR 82C5 @ Finger Lakes 02/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 84 · 1m Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2025 · OR 84 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 30/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 88 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 88 par30/07C5OR 88C5 @ Finger Lakes 26/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 87 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 91 par14/10C5OR 91C5 @ Finger Lakes 18/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 91 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/11/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 88 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 88 par3/06C5OR 88C6 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 89 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 89 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 15/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 98 par15/09C6OR 98projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2026-06-03Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2025-11-18Finger Lakes?2nd1st+1
2025-10-14Finger Lakes?3rd2nd+1
2025-08-26Finger Lakes?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0626/083/0615/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 76/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength72%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/06/20251st4/998%100%+0.02
02/07/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
30/07/20252nd11/1094%75%-0.19
26/08/20252nd11/893%86%-0.07
14/10/20253rd2/189%67%-0.23
18/11/20252nd3/184%83%-0.01
03/06/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
23/06/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
15/09/20264th6/168%63%-0.06