IvyArcIvyArc
8

My Gorgeous

6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 31

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength63%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 19/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 45 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 45 par19/11C6OR 45C6 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 37 · 5f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 37 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 08/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 31 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 31 par8/06C6OR 31C6 @ Finger Lakes 22/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 30 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 30 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 35 · 1m 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 35 par7/07C9OR 35C9 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 37 · 1m70y Gd 124 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 37 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 33 · 6f 124 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 33 par12/08C9OR 33C9 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 29 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 29 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 31 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 31 par8/09C9OR 31projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-08-25Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-12Finger Lakes?7th7th0
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-07-07Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-22Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1122/0612/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/11/20255th25/10%0%0.00
12/05/20265th50/10%43%+0.43
08/06/20266th25/10%0%0.00
22/06/20266th40/10%0%0.00
07/07/20262nd5/287%75%-0.12
03/08/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
12/08/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
25/08/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67
08/09/20265th16/116%50%+0.34