2
Shes Sal's Dream
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 30
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |