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6

Spicey Ticey

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 39

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

55%

Place Prob

43%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Charles Town 11/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 22 · 4f110y 122 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 22 par11/03C9OR 22C9 @ Charles Town 02/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 27 · 7f Gd 122 · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 27 parC9 @ Charles Town 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 40 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 40 par25/04C9OR 40C9 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 46 · 5f Fas 119 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 46 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 43 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 43 par2/06C9OR 43C9 @ Finger Lakes 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 43 · 6f 120 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 43 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 46 · 1m70y Gd 120 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 46 par3/08C9OR 46C9 @ Finger Lakes 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 45 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 45 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 22/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 44 · 1m 120 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 44 par22/09C9OR 44projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-08-31Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-07-20Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-12Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0312/053/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength69%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20267th5/174%0%-0.74
02/04/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
25/04/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
12/05/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
02/06/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10
20/07/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
03/08/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
31/08/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10
22/09/20265th9/153%43%-0.10