14
Cheerful Wongchoy
5yo Gelding · 9-8
Happy Valley · Bedford Handicap · 1m 1f
#11
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +11.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |
| 11/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |