9

Golden Fortune
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 7
Happy Valley · Bedford Handicap · 1m 1f
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: BHA33
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA33 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA34 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA34 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA37 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 18/01/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/02/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 08/03/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 69% | -0.19 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |