4
Kingly Demeanor
6yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 9
Happy Valley · Bedford Handicap · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/4
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: BHA29
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA41 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA41 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 54% | -0.15 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.30 |