2
Sharpen Bright
7yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 3
Happy Valley · Bedford Handicap · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA44 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 31% | -0.30 |
| 03/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 17/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 01/01/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 23% | -0.37 |
| 14/02/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 04/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 18/03/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/06/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |