6
Young Fighter
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 8
Happy Valley · Bedford Handicap · 1m 1f
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Sha Tin | BHA45 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Sha Tin | BHA49 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-14 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/07/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 21/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 11/01/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 13/09/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |