9
Lightness Of Being
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 9
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA55 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 01/02/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 19/02/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 08/03/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 22/03/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 12/04/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 16/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |