3
Vigor Happiness
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 2
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 11.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA62 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |