5
World Hero
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA37
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA55 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |