9
Colourful Gan
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 3
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.9)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/12/2025 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/01/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/02/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 18/03/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |