7
Dashing Maurison
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA39
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA39 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 19/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.22 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 23/09/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 18% | -0.37 |