2
Ragga Bomb
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 6
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 9-12 · tight 78/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 23/12/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |