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8

Absolute Honour

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 10

Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA46 @ Sha Tin 20/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 46 · 6f Gd 121 · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 46 par20/1246OR 46C0 @ Sha Tin 04/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 120BHA44 @ Sha Tin 18/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 44 · 7f Gd 119 · beat its mark18/01/2026 · OR 44 par18/0144OR 44BHA46 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 46 · 7f Gd 121 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 46 parBHA46 @ Sha Tin 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 46 · 7f GF 121 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 46 par22/0346OR 46BHA46 @ Sha Tin 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 46 · 1m Gd 121 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 46 parBHA52 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 52 · 1m1f Goo 128 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 52 par17/0552OR 52BHA52 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m1f Yie 130 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 52 parBHA52 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 52 · 1m GF 127 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 52 par12/0752OR 52projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA523rd3rd0
2026-06-13Sha TinBHA524th4th0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA523rd3rd0
2026-04-19Sha TinBHA461st1st0
2026-03-22Sha TinBHA464th4th0
2026-02-08Sha TinBHA467th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/128/0217/0512/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20258th40/10%36%+0.36
04/01/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
18/01/20262nd7/282%92%+0.11
08/02/20267th3/184%50%-0.34
22/03/20264th11/486%77%-0.09
19/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
17/05/20263rd11/486%85%-0.01
13/06/20264th10/382%77%-0.06
12/07/20263rd15/261%85%+0.24